Ok, the noise at one level is high, and the signals are
embedded, but I want to try to give you a short heads-up. There are very interesting things happening.
There is a perfect storm brewing, but it’s not what you
think..?
This storm has brought with it an asymmetry that will
change so many things.
There are several events that have marked history…1901
and 1930, so they say, one of which I had some indirect
benefit from…both of those were paradigm "fuelers" and they
came as a result of oil discoveries … as you remember; the
SPINDLETOP and the EAST TEXAS field (20 billion barrels),
which is still pumping btw, albeit slower, and feeding my
x-wife’s family…
The recent shale finds in LEVANT (maybe you never heard of it
–>Off Israeli coast), BAKKEN, and EAGLE FORD, and a new one
that is likely to contain 35 billion barrels, along with what
people think are more than 20 fields that will have billions
of barrels of newly discovered oil and gas.
This is clearly the energy miracle that I spoke about last
march, as the light at the end of the tunnel.
It seems that along with all the problems that are going to
emerge, the emergence of this set of discoveries is going to
trigger everything from a new socialist movement*…to Obama
becoming the greatest president in our history; make room
mount Rushmore?
(I wish they wouldn’t call it that, but
they do, because @F-L-O-W, this movement will be to recognize
a converging set of factors that deal with a re-interpretation
of what makes people human and a movement away from the ideas;
that on one hand has created blank slate, and on the other hand,
which will start to weaken it over time…and that will NOT be
socialism, but a new -ism, which has not emerged yet, and I am
labeling for now, as "contribution", mingled with some degree of
contrition I suspect, not sure, but it won’t be an -ism, we
recognize…)
This is the strangest, yet most counter-intuitive moment in
history, and it is difficult to explain, but "perfect" for the
times, as paradoxically enthralling as any movie I’ve seen.
My forecast, which I’m working on, will attempt (a new
format) to place now, near, and far components within the
context of best, probable, and worst scenarios, as the future
has and always had a number of streams running….
This will be all I can say for now, but I don’t want people
to think there is only bad news, because that is what you are
going to hear as parts of the system, which can’t adapt as
fast, suffer asymmetrically, and other parts of the system
continue to promote the greatest accumulation of wealth, we
have ever known…
We are entering a period of time that continues to draw
wisdom from Alice in Wonderland…
Join me for my 2014 forecast call on January 3, 2012.
If
you are a BOOK Owner @F-L-O-W, the event will be in your
schedule of events. If you are not yet a book owner, you’ll
want to understand this FORECAST @F-L-O-W and why you, me, and
we are in for a ride.
About ‘100 Years’ after the roaring 20s, we approach a
period of time which will forever define us, and mark the
tipping point @BS. A real BLACK SWAN @F-L-O-W.
Black swan theory
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"The
black swan theory or
theory
of black swan events is a metaphor that
describes an event that is a surprise (to the
observer), has a major effect, and after the
fact is often inappropriately rationalized
with the benefit of hindsight.
The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas
Taleb to explain:
- The disproportionate role of
high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare
events that are beyond the realm of normal
expectations in history, science, finance,
and technology
- The non-computability of the
probability of the consequential rare
events using scientific methods (owing to
the very nature of small probabilities)
- The psychological biases that make
people individually and collectively blind
to uncertainty and unaware of the massive
role of the rare event in historical
affairs
Unlike the earlier philosophical "black
swan problem," the "black swan theory" refers
only to unexpected events of large magnitude
and consequence and their dominant role in
history. Such events, considered extreme
outliers, collectively play vastly larger
roles than regular occurrences."
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NOW, near, and far, there is an Opportunity, as there is any
time DANGER is present.
The danger is that we will assume that things are going back
to the way they were @BS!
The opportunity is the idea to act while we can to make
inroads @F-L-O-W.
This is truly the best of times, and the worst of times.
My guess is that a dual strategy is available and one is
popular @BS.
Conditions had appeared that would actually provide the degree
of dissonance for the new paradigm to emerge.
But the question remains, what is it in our society that
transfers affect at the tipping point; when do the problems
become big enough that the paradigm tips?
And that is our dilemma now in the Light!
On one hand we have a significant part of the world tipping
into a problem condition through the run-up of the best @BS,
and the consequences have now created an inflection point; but
the light now shines back from the dark, as in an eclipse, and
the dissonance will be muted, the problems solved, and the old
paradigm runs another cycle….
Let me frame this as well as I can, as a contrast between two
distinct paradigms of assumptions:
Blank Slate (@BS) contrasts @F-L-O-W
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We Begin Broken
|
We Begin Different
|
Everyone Is Created Equal
|
Everyone Is
NOT
Created
Equal
|
To Be Fair, It Must Be The
Same
|
To Be Fair, Each Different,
But Fair
|
To Be Happy, Be Successful
|
Happy = Be, Do, Have,
Become, Contribute
|
Wants Replace Needs
|
Needs Replace Wants
|
Net Energy Is Decreasing
|
Net Energy Is Shifting –
Transduction
|
Noise Accumulates as Signal
|
Signal Filtering
Critical
|
We Can Learn Anything
|
Can’t–Should Not–Learn
Some Things
|
We Can Be Anything We Want
|
We Can Be Anything We Can
& Are!
|
Because We Can, We Will
|
Because We Can, Doesn’t
Mean We Will
|
We Are Rational Human Beings
|
We Are Largely Irrational
Beings
|
Refuse To Accept Ourselves And
Others
|
Unconditionally Accept
Self & Others
|
All Problems Can Be Solved By
Growth
|
Growth Is A
Solution To Some Problems
|
Models and Statistics Can be generalized |
Generalization not possible
to differences |
Development Through Personal Change |
Development with Scaffolding |
Personal Change Is The Leverage Point |
Acceptance Is The Leverage Poin |
Focus on Self-Awareness |
Focus on Self-Knowledge |
|
Down the rabbit hole a little further…and a summary
remark
Here’s a quick example, they are everywhere:
Diet’s Role in Risk of Repeat Heart
Attacks
People with heart disease or diabetes who consumed
diets rich in fruits, vegetables, nuts, and fish were
less likely to have another heart attack or stroke,
according to a five-year study.
When I read part of this, I could not say whether or
not the people eating the good food:
1) ate the food because they were motivated to eat
well and diabetes and heart failure were part of their
genetic inbornness
2) that people motivated to eat the food did so
because they were scaffolded
4) that the food itself was actually the issues, or
were there lifestyle changes in concert with the food
regimen
This is why I think we are mostly mistaken about what
causes what…?
I read a piece years ago that said we don’t die from
heart attacks, that they are merely the objects of
deeper subjects…all of which are complex. So all the
stuff that people say do, is really based on what
people "want" you to do…
If we have been fooled by food companies, then why
haven’t we been fooled by drug companies, and by "Car"
companies, and by our doctors, lawyers, and everyone
else who has themselves been fooled by the foolers who
we now can’t tell apart anymore…
…and remember, we did all this fooling and being
fooled by science, fyi…and of course our intuition
as it is filtered through ego…
Now, the natural response
I see, often from people when I raise this kind of
conundrum, is this remark…"why
do anything at all…"
As if, they had some choice hehe…
But I know reactions that people will have @F-L-O-W is
that if everything is so complex, then what should we
do…
…and that is why it took a decade to figure out the
answer and that is…go back to the roots of
happiness… Manage your existence in some way you can
function, or dysfunction at the hierarchy of need
aligned with what your inbornness + scaffolding can
generate sustainably…and with that a eye towards the
other fish bowlers in the area…
No matter how complex it gets, at least until gene
therapy becomes operational…this may be an
approach that works for more folks…and in that
process, leave a little for others, and help when
and where you can.
.
Join me MOVEMENT @F-L-O-W.
These short stories are brought to you by Mike
R. Jay, the world’s most innovative coach, and
self-proclaimed developmentalist. Mike’s new book
@F-L-O-W: Find, Design, Use TALENT to Emerge
Happiness & Success in a PostModern World is
available now.
In the book, Mike explains why Blank Slate, as
adopted by CORPORATE, and leveraged by "propaganda"
has conspired to create the life conditions we now
co-evolve with–all for good reason–and that the
risks and the benefits are now diminishing rapidly
with the escalation of complexity.
What was a good idea for its time, has now become
loaded with potential risks for mankind, buoyed by
limits to growth, and irrational decision-making at
the highest levels of leadership, now leave you, me
and us at a crossroads.
Influenced by the best selling book The
Blank Slate: The Modern
Denial of Human Nature,
by Steven Pinker in
2002, a decade later, Mike helps us understand what
to do about what has become the most dangerous
memeplex of our time. He guides you @F-L-O-W to hold
an optimistic view of our individual futures based
on a way to "produce happiness" and consume less
success, while navigating the shallows between.
Mike cautions you about continuing our conditioned,
intuitive approach to reality, and how this memeplex
in play @BS will lead to accelerating losses of
happiness globally, while decreasing success
locally, and gives reasons why this is occurring
throughout the book.
In the book, Mike identifies 15 Primes, 12 of which
are outlined in detail in this first book, and shows
you the tools within each, which you apply one or
more combinations directly suited to your talents to
get off this RAT RACE of co-evolving with
complexity, and running harder to keep up.
Mike knows that the notions in the book are
counter-intuitive by nature, and that CORPORATE
wants us all to dig in and hold on, as we ride the
roller coaster of money and credit, in a memepark of
growth and more.
While Mike
contrasts the CORPORATE Memeplex @BS, he
doesn’t make it the scapegoat because fingers
pointing there, leaves more fingers pointing at US,
literally and figuratively.
This book can be used by people who influence for a
living, intellectuals, and leaders, and just as they
have used the 1928 Bible of PR, called PROPAGANDA,
by Edward Bernays (offered free to members, btw) to
propagate @BS for the public good during the 1930s
to increase demand for wants, instead of needs; Mike
believes the same mechanics, with a different
object–happiness, not just success–can be used to
disperse the dangerous components of the memeplex to
decelerate complexity anxiety across the planet.
In a very practical manner, Mike demonstrates in the
book, what you can do as an individual and in the
collective to begin to replace the intuitive notion
that growth and more are the ONLY answers to our
co-evolution with complexity.
Mike
provides a very specific roadmap for each of us to
use while navigating through the dissonance that
will emerge both now, near, and far as complexity
reigns, and life becomes so.
This is a novel approach that represents an obliquely
powerful way to decelerate @BS @F-L-O-W, and allows
for APPS to be constructed for this new
"paradigmatic operating system." If the book is not
enough, Mike has created a platform of guidance of
varying levels of experience which he and others use
to guide you in your own Journey @F-L-O-W. With more
than 25 years of professional coaching experience
around the world, Mike has benefited from the tens
of thousands of hours with clients, students, and
peers and thanks them for their contributions to
this seminal work.
Mike welcomes comments and ideas on his
teleseminars, and all book owners get access to his
free FastStart @F-L-O-W, which these short stories
are a part. Welcome @F-L-O-W! |
The paradox of choice.
When we look at some of the ramifications of all of the
choices we can make, if we are not clear on why we make
those choices, or don’t, the how really doesn’t matter, as
it becomes part of the problem. ValuSYNC ™ @F-L-O-W is a system of
values engineering to help us understand how our values
create a fishbowl which is important for us. But we need to
be clear on our ends values, and our means values, and what
that means.
In order to get started in this process of being, having,
doing, becoming, and contributing @F-L-O-W, our FastStart
@F-L-O-W is suggested. In FastStart, we link you with the
book, why the book establishes a key (back)ground for the
figure of ValuSYNC @F-L-O-W.
You can register for our FastStart @F-L-O-W program by
purchasing a book
@F-L-O-W now, or if you have already
purchased a book, your ‘Schedule of Events‘
Link in your Member Area has your FastStart @F-L-O-W Event
information.
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